Monday, January 29, 2007

Chavez and Venezuela Q&A

If you have interesting questions about Chavez and Venezuela and would like to see a panel of experts answering them, you can ask the questions to a panel of experts here. Alternatively, you can email your question to ask@ft.com.

The Q&A session is being held by the Financial Times and the people in charge of selecting and answering the questions will be the Financial Times Latin American editor, Richard Lapper, the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, DC, Mark Weisbrot, and the former Chief Economist of the Venzuelan National Assembly, Francisco Rodriguez.


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Friday, January 12, 2007

Evo Morales on the Conflicts

Evo has finally returned from his trip to Nicaragua. Bolivian Blog Plan B (in Spanish) reports that he has made a statement to Bolivia on the conflcits. Plan B makes a summary of what Evo said and what he did not say. The following is a translation of Plan B's post for those who do not understand Spanish:

What Evo said:
  • Manfred Reyes is responsible for what happened.
  • He accuses the Governor for trying to hold an autonomy referendum.
  • Evo assures that the government will guarantee the security of the people.
  • Evo condemned the violence "of those we know".
  • Evo defined yesterday's conflict as racially motivated.
  • He calls "his comrades" to peace.
  • He states that dialogue is always open.
  • Evo calls "his brothers and sisters" to a new meeting, in order to get to know what the people (i.e. his supporters) want.
  • Evo also asks the social movements (aligned with him) to respect the constitution.
What Evo didn't say
  • He was silent about the deaths or the wounded. He did not say he is mourning the victims.
  • He wants peace to return.
  • He did not take the initiave to meet with the opposition.
  • Evo did not condemn violence from both sides. He just condemned violence arising from those not aligned with his platform.
  • Evo did not say that he is responsible for the actions of the cocaleros, although he is the president of their federation and it was them who started the violence and who have been blocking the roads for the past 5 days.
  • He was silent about reported cocalero agressions against the press.
  • He was silent about the citizen's effort to help those in need by donating blood, medicines or food.


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The Conflict in Images (2)

Evo in Nicaragua




The Youth for Democracy meets the police...


... and keeps going.


Both sides meet.



Policemen help an injured member of Youth for Democracy.


One cocalero dies.


The police is finally able to control the masses.


The next day (today) begins calmly...



... but cocaleros start protesting again.




Note: All images are from AP and Reuters via Yahoo! News.


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The Conflict in Images (1)

The Cocaleros against the Police, Janury 8th.


Burning Cochabamba's State Capitol and property.




Blocking Cochabamba's roads.



The Youth for Democracy.


Note: All images are from AP and Reuters via Yahoo! News.


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Cochabamba Conflict FAQ

I have complied a FAQ on what is going on in Cochabamba, Bolivia. If you missed the genesis of the conflict, you will be able to catch up, while more news appear in the media.

How did the conflict start?

On December 14th, 2006, a day before the Crescent Moon Departments (Santa Cruz, Tarija, Beni and Pando, which form a crescent moon shape in Bolivia's map) organized a mass protest against Evo Morales' intrusion in the Constituent Assembly (here), Cochabamba Governor Mafred Reyes Villa also organized a town hall meeting. In this meeting, he expressed support for the Crescent Moon call for autonomy and 2/3 in the Constituent Assembly. He also said that he would call for a new autonomy referendum in Cochabamba, as he considers that population was misinformed during the July 2006 one, when Cochabamba rejected autonomy with 63%.

On January 4th, the "social movements" aligned with MAS decide to ask for Reyes Villa's resignation for 'treason'. The aforementioned social movements are comprised by only 6 of 35 social groups of Cochabamba's Workers' Union (COD). All of them are Coca Growers Unions, which are incidentally commanded by Evo Morales.

On the 5th they start the siege of Cochabamba. No violence is registered thus far and Reyes Villa says he will not resign.

On January 8th, things get out of hand. The "social movements" start getting violent. Cabinet member Alicia Munoz orders the police not to intervene -because it would be repression. Commanded by MAS legislators, the movements set the Cochabamba State Capitol on fire (here). The government is quick to denounce Cochabamba's Governor as the main culprit, while acknowledging that it was their grassroots movements who set the building on fire. Newspapers report that Governor Reyes Villa had to evacuate the building disguised in a fire truck.

On January 9th, Evo Morales censors minister Alicia Munoz and travels to Nicaragua, leaving Vice-President Garcia Linera in charge. Bolivian police is confused in regard to what their function should be. Garcia Linera supports the cocaleros and says that Manfred Reyes Villa's call for a referendum is illegal. Cocaleros start blocking the roads of Cochabamba, causing at least $3 million in loses for exporters and thousands of stranded travellers. Civic Committee calls for a 'march for peace' to be held in one of Cochabamba's main squares.

On Janury 10th, the cocaleros take over the square designated for the Committee's march. People from Cochabamba, tired from the excesses of cocaleros, reunite somewhere else and start marching towards the cocaleros. There is no violence, but the Civic group, called Youth for Democracy, give 24 hrs to the cocaleros to leave town. Anti-Evo chants can be heard on one side of the street (Evo, Cuidado, El Pueblo Esta Emputado - Evo, be careful, the people are pissed off) and Anti-Autonomy chants on the other (Autonomia, Nunca, Carajo! - Autonomy, fucking never!). Secreary of Cochabamba's COD admits that most social groups are not taking part in the protests and that they screwed up (metieron la pata) by demanding Reyes Villa's resignation (here). The Governor of La Paz supports Reyes Villa and proposes that the autonomy referendum be nationwide (here). Santa Cruz and the Crescent Moon departments express their support for Manfred Reyes Villa and democracy. Garcia Linera says that the government will retreat its forces iff Reyes Villa does not call the autonomy referendum (here). Cocaleros put two people in hospital, just because they had Eastern Bolivia accents. They also get violent with reporters (here and here).

This chain of events leads to...

What happened yesterday?


Youth for Democracy (YfD) get together again and give one more warning to the cocaleros: they have until 3pm to get out of Cochabamba. Once the deadline passes, a force of 8,000-10,000 start marching to the site where cocaleros are posted. There is a small police force in the Cala-Cala Bridge, but they are easily and non-violently surpassed. They arrive to the Banderas Square, where cocaleros are surprised and flee to the Prado avenue. Violent clashes are registered, and the YfD follow the cocaleros. There are more cocaleros waiting in the Prado avenue and chaos takes over. Cocaleros throw dynamite to the YfD and some gunshots are heard, although most battles resort to sticks, fists and stones (here). 400 policemen/women are deployed to deal with the conflict (here).

Reyes Villa is in La Paz, in a meeting with all non-aligned Governors. This, unfortunately leads to MAS pressure groups getting together and starting the conflict in La Paz. They are maintaining a siege of the hotel where the elected officials are meeting and issued orders to take over the international airport, in order to prevent the Governors from getting out or support from coming in (here). Reports of food scarcity in La Paz and Cochabamba appear. Santa Cruz is also in alert and preparing to support Reyes Villa and Democracy (here).

MAS Vice-President says that all 4 members of YfD caught with guns will be processed. Surprisingly, he does not say a word about what will happen to cocaleros caught with guns or dynamite (here).

What is the toll of the conflict so far?

SO far, two people have died and more than 100 are wounded, 3 of which are fighting for their lives as of now. Other media outlets report more than 200 wounded and one person with cerebral death.

The dead are:

16 year old Cristian Urresti, from the YfD. Death was caused by several machete wounds to the head. He was the son of a LAB pilot and his 17th birthday was today.

41 year old Nicomedes Gutierrez, from the cocaleros. Death was caused by a bullet wound to the chest.

Some media have reported a third death, but it is unconfirmed as of now. The wounded are aged from 12 to 65, on both sides. The majority of injured belongs to the cocaleros, though.

Only 400 policemen/women to control 10,000 persons?

Yes. The crisis in the police was caused by cabinet member Alicia Munoz. When police was disbanding violent attacks from cocaleros with tear gas on Jan. 8th, she sacked the newly appointed police chief for repression. The police retreated and the cocaleros were able to burn the State Capitol. She also said that "when the minister is in charge, no governor is [in charge] (Donde manda ministra, no manda prefecto)", making police men and women fear for their jobs if they acted. It is clear now that police acted on their own and were just doing their jobs, i.e. protecting the city. Reyes Villa and the sacked chief of police deny giving orders. So, it is likely that police officials are reluctant to act for fear to MAS' apparatus.

Is it likely for the conflict to spread to other regions?

The conflict has already spread to La Paz and Santa Cruz (here).

What is Evo Morales doing to solve this conflict?

Nothing. Evo Morales is not even in Bolivia, he's in Nicaragua with Hugo Chavez, celebrating former dictator Daniel Ortega's return to power. His trip was not authorized by Congress, so his visit to Ortega should be considered personal and not official. He travelled one day after the Cochabamba state capitol was burnt by his followers, which indicates where his priorities lie.

You are lying because you are a damn oligarch. Evo Morales is the Messiah.

No, he's not. He's a very naughty boy.

So, who is responsible for this conflict taking place?

So far, instead of trying to apace the sides, both government and opposition have been busy trying to make the other look bad.

However, if you view things impartially, the government should be held responsible. First, they are the ones that organized the cocaleros and send them to to Cochabamba. If the government were somewhat more democratically-oriented, they would not have panicked from Reyes Villa referendum call. But, since it was with street protests that Evo Morales got into power, they were keen to use it whenever somebody said something they didn't like. They certainly did not count with people going to the streets to defend democracy and react to their burning of the State Capitol. The view of many cocaleros is "if we could oust [former president] Sanchez de Lozada, we can oust Reyes Villa". Once again, this shows Evo Morales' authoritarian leanings.

Second, it was Evo Morales, through years of complaining about state repression against the will of the people, who took away the state's monopoly on violence. Now, MAS officials are too busy trying to look like good guys, opposed to repression, to make the police enforce the law. Now, anybody (who is aligned to MAS) can do anything and if the police tries to prevent it, we soon hear cries of human rights violations and police repression, regardless of how legal the act was in the first place.

Finally, MAS started the conflict, by burning the State Capitol and, instead of calling a truce, blaming the Governor. This was too much for Cochabambinos.

I hear several statements saying that the autonomy referendum proposed by Manfred Reyes Villa is illegal. Is this true?

No. The referendum called by Manfred Reyes Villa is totally legal. This has been confirmed by the country's electoral body (here). In fact, any citizen in Bolivia who can come up with the necessary number of signatures and agrees to pay the costs, can organize a referendum. The legality of the referendum has been questioned by MAS officials and used as a pretext to sack a democratically-elected Governor who is aligned with the opposition. MAS fears that if Cochabamba wins its autonomy, other departments will follow soon and this will be a fatal blow to Evo's wishes of pulling a Chavez -he's trying to increase his power by writing a new constitution.

What is the international community saying about this conflict?
Not much. Yesterday at 7pm GMT, I looked into the BBC (UK's international edition), UK's newspapers The Independent, The Guardian, The Times, The Financial Times and the Telegraph, Spain's El Pais and US' NY Times and WSJ and none had a word about it. None of them even had the Capitol Burning piece. The papers I found to report the incident were the Miami Herald and SF Chronicle. Today, it seems that BBCMundo (in Spanish), El Pais, the NY Times and Washington Post have started following the conflict. No UK newspapers have done so until now.

In terms of blogs, read Manuel Buitrago's MABB and Publius Pundit (links are on the side bar).

Where can I read updates on the situation?
If you can read Spanish, La Razon from La Paz and Los Tiempos from Cochabamba are the newspapers I follow, although el Deber, from Santa Cruz may become a very interesting read now. They only make a couple of updates a day, though. A better website, with more frequent updates, is that of NoticiasBolivianas.com. It also includes the headlines for all Bolivian newspapers.
For English readers, keep an eye on the blogs I mention above and this one.

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Thursday, January 11, 2007

Evo Celebrating in Nicaragua, Bolivia in Civil War

While Evo Morales is making a congress-unauthorised trip to celebrate Nicaragua's new president with his boss, Hugo Chavez, clashes between MAS supporters and the Youth for Democracy group have resulted in 78 wounded and two deaths: 41-year old Nicomedes Gutierrez, from the cocaleros, and an unidentified 20-year old member of Youth for Democracy.
This is the result of Evo Morales' increasingly authoritarian regime, which called the Six Coca Federations to siege Cochabamba in order to oust non-aligned Governor Manfred Reyes Villa.

According to MAS, Reyes Villa betrayed the people when he called a new autonomy referendum for Cochabamba (according to Bolivian law, anyone who collects a given number of firms can call a referendum, though). So, they sent the Coca Federations, which reached Cochabamba five days ago. On Tuesday, the Cocaleros burnt the State Capitol as part of their protest, in the midst of severe governmental inefficiency, as several officials started to give contradicting orders to the police. On Wednesday, the Civic Committee of Cochabamba organized a meeting to protest the violence and repel MAS. The Cocaleros, however, took over the place assigned for the meeting in order to prevent it from happening. This only led to several hundred Cochabambinos, who repel Morales' government, to get together somewhere else and march toward the cocaleros with the following warning: they had 24 hrs to leave the city.

One day later, the conflict has escalated beyond recognition. The following is a post from NoticiasBolivianas.com of what is currently taking place (in Spanish). I will post more, including a detailed build-up to the situation, as it becomes available.

18h20. Otro fallecido en los duros enfrentamientos en Cochabamba. Periodista de la red PAT en la morgue del Hospital Viedma afirma que un joven de 20 años falleció por golpes y contusiones. El joven de 1m90 pertenecería al grupo denominado Juventud por la Democracia.
17h40. En el hospital Viedma ingresaron 78 heridos de gravedad. 70 son cocaleros y 8 son de la Juventud por la Democracia.
17h22. El ejercito toma posición entre los dos bandos en la avenida Ayacucho y Heroinas.
17h15. Varios medios de comunicación anuncian oficialmente la muerte de un cocalero. Se trata de Nicomedes Gutiérrez de 41 años, del sindicato cocalero de Chimore (Chapare - Trópico de Cochabamba).
16h20. Según varios medios de comunicación, existen hasta el momento más de 20 heridos de gravedad, principalmente Cocaleros de las 6 Federaciones del trópico. Los mismos están atendidos en varios hospitales de la cuidad. Los hospitales piden urgentemente que todos los médicos se aproximen hacía los centros de salud.
16h15. Los manifestantes de la Juventud por la Democracia siguen enfrentándose a los Cocaleros de las 6 Federaciones por el Prado y por la avenida Ayacucho haciéndoles retroceder hacía el centro de la cuidad, con la voluntad de recuperar la plaza principal, todavía en manos de los Cocaleros desde el jueves pasado.
16h00. Más de 8000 manifestantes de la Juventud por la Democracia han desalojado violentamente de la plaza de las banderas al norte de Cochabamba, los Cocaleros de las 6 Federaciones del trópico que ocupaban dicha plaza desde el día de ayer. La policia fue totalmente rebalsada y hubo duros enfrentamientos con varios cocaleros heridos de gravedad.

Los cocaleros piden la renuncia del prefecto de este departamento, Manfred Reyes Villa por haber llamado a un referéndum autonómico. Mientras tanto, los manifestantes de la Juventud por la Democracia piden el cese de los bloqueos que desde el día martes aíslan la cuidad de Cochabamba y el desalojo de la plaza principal de esta cuidad en manos de los cocaleros desde el pasado jueves.





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